Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 1.923483 2.200925 2.505890 2.866242 3.280768 3.743104 4.298483
2025-07-06 1.450905 1.811803 2.245633 2.806709 3.514944 4.381614 5.526353
2025-07-13 1.282926 1.700867 2.235109 2.970569 3.960836 5.253792 7.079615
2025-07-20 1.112404 1.547714 2.132474 2.979342 4.181236 5.836032 8.304937
2025-07-27 1.010671 1.466353 2.105491 3.073021 4.510991 6.585434 9.834561
2025-08-03 0.903483 1.360127 2.025481 3.072972 4.694888 7.134048 11.124136
2025-08-10 0.810434 1.261468 1.941718 3.051503 4.835233 7.621636 12.365124
2025-08-17 0.725473 1.164228 1.847193 2.998465 4.913574 8.011992 13.484989
2025-08-24 0.675086 1.115241 1.821280 3.049168 5.159939 8.691638 15.155303
2025-08-31 0.630860 1.070952 1.797115 3.097700 5.403933 9.387470 16.928011
2025-09-07 0.579696 1.009298 1.737013 3.076602 5.521862 9.873252 18.374839
2025-09-14 0.528574 0.942374 1.660812 3.017875 5.563661 10.223227 19.603803
2025-09-21 0.481774 0.882551 1.598296 2.990892 5.686752 10.783659 21.406250
2025-09-28 0.434307 0.817271 1.520629 2.930024 5.745252 11.243168 23.106186
2025-10-05 0.422359 0.816799 1.562174 3.101312 6.275794 12.684666 27.015532
2025-10-12 0.392100 0.777377 1.524597 3.110490 6.478801 13.489484 29.689452
2025-10-19 0.374712 0.761347 1.530678 3.208463 6.877132 14.747799 33.539972
2025-10-26 0.348967 0.725395 1.492511 3.208412 7.063875 15.573373 36.525104
2025-11-02 0.323724 0.687735 1.446663 3.185958 7.197313 16.295741 39.371171
2025-11-09 0.298122 0.646591 1.389062 3.130489 7.248149 16.834777 41.849511
2025-11-16 0.283864 0.628716 1.379844 3.183516 7.558002 18.017493 46.114892
2025-11-23 0.270540 0.611513 1.370230 3.234274 7.868333 19.240183 50.669478
2025-11-30 0.253037 0.582963 1.331976 3.212207 7.996682 20.029262 54.191568